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  LiveWire / Teen Forums / The Intellectual Forum / Viewing Topic

If the U.S. fell
What would Happen?
Replies: 26Last Post Dec. 19, 2006 11:15pm by Apotheosis
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( rchaneberg )


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I was just reading in another topic and someone said that they hoped that the United States would fall soon.
That brought up the question in my mind: what wold happen if the U.S. fell suddenly, and if it fell slowly.

If it fell quickly into a civil war or a multitude of small nations, I believe that most of the world's economies would collapse or come very close to it, because we are nearly every countries largest trading partner. I also believe that the U.N. would collapse, since the United States pays roughly one-third of its budget.

If it fell slowly, I don't know what would happen.
Any thoughts?

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Forever Angel


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I read that thread as well. I think you're pretty much right about what would happen after a sudden collapse. It would be a very chaotic world.

As far as the slow decline, I sometimes wonder if that's not happening already. America's "greatest generation" is pretty much gone and I don't see the "ME" generation as a solution.


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telomere13


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I think people are inflating the United State's value to world affairs.  Frankly, if the United States suddenly vanished I don't think a great deal would happen outside of the United States.  I don't think the world is all that reliant on trade with the United States.  Sure, things would change, but this assumption that the world needs us and that we're the center of everything just seems a bit silly.

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12:07 pm on Nov. 9, 2006 | Joined April 2005 | 992 Days Active
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In what sense do you mean fall?   Are you talking economically or as a nation?   Either way would result in thw world economy shitting itself with the variable being how long this would happen for.    Hypothetically,   if it was a gradual dissolution and California and Texas gained independance,   nothing much would happen.   Because the purchasing power of North America wouldn't change much,   but if there was a war between the East and West (Which wont happen)   the world economy would absolutely shut down,  probably for a number of years in result fueling a world wiide depression.     But the market would adjust eventually,   because Americas resource or population wont necessarily dissapear,   it would be like Europe after World War 1.        

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( rchaneberg )


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I believe that the fall of the U.S. as a nation would, at least temporarily, result in an economic collapse as well, as inter-barriers would then become national borders, and organizational things would have to be dealt with.



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obvious child


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Quote: from telomere13 at 10:07 am on Nov. 9, 2006

I think people are inflating the United State's value to world affairs.  Frankly, if the United States suddenly vanished I don't think a great deal would happen outside of the United States.  I don't think the world is all that reliant on trade with the United States.  Sure, things would change, but this assumption that the world needs us and that we're the center of everything just seems a bit silly.

I disagree with that. If the US collapses, trillions upon trillions, upon trillions of dollars would virtually vanish from the world's wealth. The banks holding trillions in US debt would find themselves holding paper notes worth nothing. That alone would cause a collapse within many of the major European and Asian banks. With the collapse of a huge portion of their financial sectors, Japan and Europe will then themselves enter a huge recession if not depression. With 1st world markets no longer purchasing anything, China, oil producers and the 3rd world will then follow down the toliet. There's clear reason why financial experts across the world are yelling at the US to fix its debt problem.

China could do this now if it really wanted to as it holds huge amounts of securities.  

Like it or not Boys and Girls, the world runs on the confidence of Consumers. The destruction of the most stable, largest financial block in the World is going to destroy that confidence.

Without the US, financially, the world goes to Hell.

Post edited at 3:24 pm on Nov. 9, 2006 by obvious child

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cgman


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You have already come up with a plausible consequence should the U.S. fall suddenly. However even if the U.S.'s decline is gradual even over half a century or more the world's economy would still be in much the same position that it would be in if the U.S. had a sudden fall. The problem is that every country in the world is integrated to the U.S. on an economic level. Their integration with our economy is based solely on the amount of money that country posseses and can trade with. So if the U.S. fell all these countries would lose the money needed to sustain them. That would cause us to fall into something akin to the Dark Ages. Not nearly as severe but the world would enter a stage of "limbo" for quite some time.

Well that is my opinion.

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Moda


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Quote: from obvious child at 3:23 pm on Nov. 9, 2006

Quote: from telomere13 at 10:07 am on Nov. 9, 2006

I think people are inflating the United State's value to world affairs.  Frankly, if the United States suddenly vanished I don't think a great deal would happen outside of the United States.  I don't think the world is all that reliant on trade with the United States.  Sure, things would change, but this assumption that the world needs us and that we're the center of everything just seems a bit silly.

I disagree with that. If the US collapses, trillions upon trillions, upon trillions of dollars would virtually vanish from the world's wealth. The banks holding trillions in US debt would find themselves holding paper notes worth nothing. That alone would cause a collapse within many of the major European and Asian banks. With the collapse of a huge portion of their financial sectors, Japan and Europe will then themselves enter a huge recession if not depression. With 1st world markets no longer purchasing anything, China, oil producers and the 3rd world will then follow down the toliet. There's clear reason why financial experts across the world are yelling at the US to fix its debt problem.

China could do this now if it really wanted to as it holds huge amounts of securities.  

Like it or not Boys and Girls, the world runs on the confidence of Consumers. The destruction of the most stable, largest financial block in the World is going to destroy that confidence.

Without the US, financially, the world goes to Hell.


That may be so but I can also see China emerging as the new US.

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Quote: from Moda at 9:34 am on Nov. 10, 2006

Quote: from obvious child at 3:23 pm on Nov. 9, 2006

Quote: from telomere13 at 10:07 am on Nov. 9, 2006

I think people are inflating the United State's value to world affairs.  Frankly, if the United States suddenly vanished I don't think a great deal would happen outside of the United States.  I don't think the world is all that reliant on trade with the United States.  Sure, things would change, but this assumption that the world needs us and that we're the center of everything just seems a bit silly.
 

 I disagree with that. If the US collapses, trillions upon trillions, upon trillions of dollars would virtually vanish from the world's wealth. The banks holding trillions in US debt would find themselves holding paper notes worth nothing. That alone would cause a collapse within many of the major European and Asian banks. With the collapse of a huge portion of their financial sectors, Japan and Europe will then themselves enter a huge recession if not depression. With 1st world markets no longer purchasing anything, China, oil producers and the 3rd world will then follow down the toliet. There's clear reason why financial experts across the world are yelling at the US to fix its debt problem.  

 China could do this now if it really wanted to as it holds huge amounts of securities.    

 Like it or not Boys and Girls, the world runs on the confidence of Consumers. The destruction of the most stable, largest financial block in the World is going to destroy that confidence.  

 Without the US, financially, the world goes to Hell.


That may be so but I can also see China emerging as the new US.


No, because after the fall of the US, China would be reduced to nothingness

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obvious child


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Quote: from n0thing at 7:38 am on Nov. 10, 2006

No, because after the fall of the US, China would be reduced to nothingness

Quite likely as China needs the US to fund its development and provide the capital though trade to shift millions of people into better jobs so they won't rebel. There's a reason China has threatened to stop buying US securities if the US raises tarrifs.

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ajm51987


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A dark age, what would be interesting is what would arise out of it, as it's almost impossible to predict.

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throwthisaway

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I think that if the US' economy completely fell, it would be disastrous to the world's economy (as some people have stated), specifically for countries like Canada, Japan, China, and Europe. However, if it was gradual and they still had a little bit of economic hold on the world, everyone would benefit, and China would most definitely rise above the rest. China manufactures tons of products, has the largest workforce and population, and if they had a bigger GDP (Gross Domestic Product), which they would obtain from the fall of the U.S., they could literally achieve world domination.

But the US isn't going away anytime soon. It'll be gradual, not another 1929 stock market 'balloon-bursting' crash.


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obvious child


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The US would go bankrupt in 8 weeks if it didn't have access to foreign capital markets.

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If the US fell there would not only be economic disaster but I feel vulnerable countries like Australia (by Indonesia) could possibly be invaded during these times especially if it was a sudden fall.

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norock


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there would be a world wide economic super-depression. plain and simple.

does anyone have any idea how much money foreign nations have invested in our markets and securities. how do you think we fund our debt. our gov. doesn't wash dishes. they sell securities.

also, think of how much is imported into america. if that were cut off, foreign businesses would fail, and the nations would then fall into subsequent circles of, well, unending depression. until a new nation rose and began trade again. (~50-100 years maybe)

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