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If the U.S. fell |
| What would Happen? |
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Replies: 26 Last Post Dec. 19, 2006 11:15pm by Apotheosis
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Apotheosis
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It would more or less take any large Asian bank saying "Hey, dude, show me the money".
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obvious child
Guru
Ad Free
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Quote: from norock at 10:23 am on Dec. 19, 2006
and it is impossible to determine whether or not it will fail. some say the national debt is bad, some say it doesnt matter, no one really knows. 
Some debt is good as it stimulates the economy. Huge amounts of debt results in crowding out, in addition to ever increasing interest payments that reduce the gov't ability to provide services.
2/3 of the monetary supply is digital, just numbers on computer screens. I think it would take a lot to make americas economy crash.. 
On the contrary, it is exteremely easy to crash our economy. Free market economies are based on consumer confidence. Remove that and the economy dies.
And we would what, give it to them? just because they say, Give me the money, doesnt mean we could. thats not how it works. 
That's not how bonds work. Banks buy bonds with a set rate of interest and a date of delivery of principal. What the bank WILL do if it needs money or does not want the security is to sell it. Often at discount which drives down the price for Gov't issued bonds which reduces the ability of the Gov't to raise capital. This in turn reduces the value of the dollar. hence a massive sell off of US securities by Chinese and Japanese banks would effective destroy our economy. It would kill theirs as well, but that's not the point.
sure, if all foreign markets pulled out of our economy we'd have a recession, but i doubt we would"fall" 
Given that the US gov't would go bankrupt in 2 months without access to foregin capital, yes we would fall. The bankruptcy of the gov't would effectively remove the US as a viable market. Apotheosis: Some people believe that the US invaded Iraq because they were about to switch to petroeuros. I'll explain the petrodollar system and how it effectively overvalues the dollar if you want. Post edited at 7:41 pm on Dec. 19, 2006 by obvious child
------- Operation Terminus Apocalypse is a Go. Winner of the Monthly Funny Award Goes to prisoner of hss!!!!
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norock
Connoisseur
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the economy falls into a depression or recession, but it will never up and die...
------- ...life is good... ...mai ho oni i ka wai lana malie...
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7:41 pm on Dec. 19, 2006 | Joined Dec. 2006 | 343 Days Active Join to learn more about norock New York, United States | Straight Male | 4170 Posts | 7580 Points
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Apotheosis
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I'd heard about the Iraq petroeuro scenario. I'm hoping Chavez does the same, so we can get rid of him.
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